Plymouth Marine Laboratory is a world-leading ocean research institute based in the UK, working at the cutting edge of marine science to solve global ocean health challenges. Professor Steve Widdicombe’s work there as the director of science and deputy chief executive encompasses a wide range of policy-relevant scientific research in marine ecology, climate change, biodiversity and ecosystem function.

We tend to focus on the risks to human health, such as pollution, plastics, pathogens, and diseases like cholera, and rightly so. However, we talk very little about the positive health benefits we derive from the ocean as the restorative, health-giving entity that it really is. A lot more research needs to go into quantifying that link between a healthy marine environment and human health. We talk about mental health, like the ‘blue gym’ concept, which is the idea that our mental well-being can be hugely boosted by being close to the ocean and engaging in ocean pursuits. But there are also intrinsic links that we’re just beginning to explore, such as how some of the processes and chemicals produced by the ocean can have a positive influence on our physical health. Not to mention that as a provider of livelihoods, the ocean can help pull people out of poverty. So I think this needs to be a bigger focus. It’s not just about stopping the bad things from happening, but giving the ocean a chance to do all the good things for us as well.

We need to better understand the more difficult-to-quantify benefits we gain from the ocean so that we can have a better conversation around the relative values of our actions. At the moment, it’s so heavily skewed towards the direct financial benefit we get from extraction. It’s a very exploitative relationship. In human relationships—take marriage for example—you don’t look at your partner as someone who’s just going to give you financial security. You look at them as the person who gives you spiritual and emotional support, and overall well-being. But we don’t think about the ocean like that. Our relationship is purely exploitative: what can the ocean do for us, what can we take from it? I think we need to fundamentally change that relationship. Instead it needs to be more ethical, responsible and equitable between us and the ocean.

Scientists are always tentative, because we’re of the mindset that we’ve got to be absolutely categorically sure of the statements we make. In fact, we have a tendency as a community to underplay the speed and severity of things that are happening, so it would not surprise me if some of the more extreme predictions play out. The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) shows us the difficulty of making hard and fast predictions about the future. Modellers are not fortune tellers; they can only give you a set of likely scenarios based on our current understanding. But it’s never a sure thing, and portraying the level of uncertainty has often been a struggle. With something like the AMOC, I don’t think anybody is forecasting a massive collapse of that circulatory system—they’re talking about slowing and the implications that has on weather patterns. I don’t see any prediction that I would stake my house on, like saying by 2037 all coral reefs will be dead, but the direction of travel is indisputable.

My research wish would be that we spend enough time really understanding the consequences of our actions in the ocean so that we can make better informed, evidence-based decisions. For example, a recent paper found that a lot of metals are now leaching out of offshore renewables, and I’m not saying for one minute that we need to stop moving forward with offshore renewables, but we do need to understand all the consequences so that we can make better decisions and go with the least harmful scenario. We need to focus our research towards better understanding the consequences of human activities in the ocean, with the ultimate aim of having the smallest possible footprint on the ocean while still delivering the health and well-being benefits that we need.

Collaboration has always been one of the major strengths of ocean science. When you’re at sea on a research expedition, you work as a team, with different scientists working to address pieces of a bigger story. This attitude is built into the community, and we see it in Ocean Decade initiatives like the Ocean Conference. There’s a real willingness to collaborate, integrate, and be a community. I think this community is also really proactive in addressing autonomy, AI and machine learning, because we work in very difficult places, and autonomy allows us to do more. Overall, it’s a very creative, innovative community.

Regarding funding, the investment in Sustainable Development Goal 14 is way below everything else. It’s always been a struggle getting funding, and looking at the current geopolitical situation, it’s going to get even more difficult. Some of the community’s ambition is hampered by a lack of resources. Weather forecasting, which is recognised as an activity for the international public good, is effectively funded by governments coming together to commit to delivering an observing system, but there’s no similar funding ambition for ocean health observation. At the moment, it’s left to the overstretched, under-resourced science community. This comes right back to our initial conversation around recognising the ocean’s value. We see how much fish we can get out of it, or how we can use it to transport goods around, but those metrics don’t reflect the ocean’s true value.

Another issue is the fact that the vast majority of the ocean sits outside anyone’s sole ownership. This could be a strength if we had a mechanism operating like the Antarctic Treaty, which protects Antarctica by saying it belongs to all of us, therefore it belongs to none of us. But we don’t have the same level of protection for the open ocean. Everyone’s staking their claims for mineral deposits, or massive factory ships are sucking up huge shoals of fish because it’s in no one’s territorial water, so it’s all fair game.

The US’s role has been massive. They’ve been committed to major UN endeavours, like UNESCO and the International Atomic Energy Agency, which contributed to ocean science. But it’s not just the funding, it’s the thought leadership and capacity. US scientists have been bastions of delivering the required knowledge, and there is a lot to lose in terms of their performance and their independence—will we see a shift to policy-based evidence, where science is skewed towards supporting and justifying the government’s narrative? I’m very worried about how this will affect the globe’s capability to research and respond to some of the biggest environmental challenges the planet has ever faced. Similarly, what has happened to the Russian science community is very unfortunate; their datasets and knowledge have been effectively taken out of circulation. We would hope that science sits above geopolitical considerations, but in practice it doesn’t.

Last year started with a lot of optimism and ended with a lot of disappointment. The climate COP didn’t deliver the progress we were hoping for; the Convention for Biological Diversity COP didn’t get through all the work it needed to; and the plastics treaty negotiators didn’t rise to the challenge. In 2025 we need to finish the job that we should have finished in 2024.

The governments of small island developing states show the most willingness to recognise the importance of oceans and use ocean science to make better decisions, despite a lack of research capacity. In those countries, the relevance of oceans to their very existence is more obvious. We also see really great energy from the ocean community at events like the Ocean Decade Conference and the World Ocean Summits. There’s a lot of positivity and willingness to move forward with a shared vision. But this doesn’t translate into political action. There’s a massive disconnect between the ocean community and the people with the power to make substantive decisions. At most cabinet tables around the world, the importance of the ocean is rarely taken into consideration when making a decision.

So how do we address that? How do we make sure that the ocean, the environment, people and nature take their rightful place in these conversations? We are constrained by the fact that governments find it very difficult to make long-term decisions. Many of the things we need to do in the ocean require a long-term commitment. But in our political system, they’ve got to solve immediate problems fast in order to secure re-election. This is why it’s important to take action outside of that short-term political cycle and embed it into business-as-usual. That’s how weather forecasting works. Governments know they have to do it, so spending the money is a habit.